Vice President Kamala Harris is behind Donald Trump in five key swing states polls, with the pair tied in a further two, according to recent surveys.
Surveys by Republican pollsters Trafalgar Group of three of the key battleground states which could determine who wins the 2024 election shows that Trump is beating Harris in Pennsylvania (47 percent to 45) and Wisconsin (47 percent to 46).
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Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck in Michigan, with the former president narrowly ahead on 47 percent, and the vice president on 46.6.
While Harris has seen waves of enthusiasm for her 2024 bid since she was endorsed by President Joe Biden after he ended his reelection campaign, the surveys showing her not beating Trump in battleground states are largely consistent with polling companies’ previous results.
Elsewhere, InsiderAdvantage swing-state polling shows that Trump is ahead of Harris in all but one of the remaining four major swing states.
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The surveys show that Trump has a narrow one-point lead over Harris in Arizona (49 percent to 49), Nevada (48 percent to 47) and North Carolina (49 percent to 48). The pair are tied on 48 percent in Georgia.
Harris’ and Trump’s offices have been contacted for comment via email.
With just over two months to go until November’s election, the importance on how residents in the seven main swing states plan to vote will become ever more important.
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The Trafalgar Group and InsiderAdvantage polls were carried out as Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, recently embarked on a two-day campaign bus tour in Georgia, a state where Biden beat Trump by just over 11,700 votes in 2020.
On August 10, Trafalgar Group released swing states surveys showing Trump still with a 2-point lead over Harris in Pennsylvania (46 to 44).
Trump was also ahead of Harris in North Carolina (49 percent to 45), Arizona (47 percent to 46), and Nevada (48 percent to 45).
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The previous InsiderAdvantage polls, released in early and mid-August, showed Trump and Harris were essentially tied in Pennsylvania, as well as in Wisconsin.
However, Trump led in both states by a margin of less than 1 percent, 46.6 percent to 46 in Pennsylvania and 48.6 percent to 48.3 in Wisconsin.
The latest Trafalgar Group surveys were conducted between August 28-30, polling 1,082 likely voters in Pennsylvania, 1,089 in Michigan and 1,083 in Wisconsin. The results have a margin of error of 2.9 percent in each state.
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The InsiderAdvantage surveys were conducted on August 30 between 800 likely voters in each state. The margin of errors are between 3 to 3.7 percent.
